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Drama index 50/1009 degraded · 1 downMood: Unsettled

Blackout notice: Mastodon.social outage

Notice issued: Mastodon.social is down; a connectivity issue has been recorded and the relevant forms have become unexpectedly relevant.

Fly.io reports outbound IPv4 failures in ARN, JNB, and GRU; packets wait.Microsoft 365 reports Microsoft Admin Center degraded; bureaucracy pauses.Stripe's instant payouts recovered; liquidity has resumed its scheduled route.Stripe reports instant-payout failures; liquidity is taking a detour.Cursor recovered its billing and usage dashboard; arithmetic resumes cautiously.No new incident in two hours; the network remains theatrically uneventful.

Should you deploy right now?

Ship itAbsolutely not

Proceed carefully; verify dependencies before deployment.

Deployment inputs: no confirmed deployment incidents · no unconfirmed warnings.

Coming upPlaid maintenance in progress · since Plaid maintenance in progress · since Twilio maintenance scheduled · –

Next few hours: Stripe maintenance for TWINT and Epic Games downtime for v43.00 Update remain in progress.

Excuse of the hour — Mastodon.social’s “Hetzner Connectivity Issues” may explain the delay; the route has been invited to submit a written apology.

Incident details →
Mastodon.socialStormyHetzner Connectivity IssuesDetails →
Microsoft 365GustyMicrosoft Admin CenterDetails →
CursorGustyService Degradation - Billing and Usage DashboardDetails →
Epic GamesHazyEpic Games Store iOS IssueDetails →
Fireworks AIOvercastService degradationDetails →
FigmaDrizzleTemporary Disruption with SitesDetails →
OktaSlowDegraded Performance: Delays in Outbound SMS DeliveryDetails →
TwilioDelayedSilent Network Authentication (SNA) Failure Increase on Indosat in Indonesia+3 moreScheduledDetails →
KrakenOvercastSUI (SUI) Funding DelaysDetails →
SnowflakeBreezyService incidentDetails →

All clear · 129 services

Quiet · 37 community services with no reports

Mastodon.social is down, with a connectivity issue recorded on its status notice, placing the social forecast in the black folder. Since the previous edition, Cursor has moved from clear to degraded, with its Billing and Usage Dashboard now under Service Degradation. Microsoft 365 lists Microsoft Admin Center as degraded, while Fireworks AI remains under a general service degradation notice. Plaid maintenance is in progress, and Stripe maintenance for TWINT is also in progress. Several status pages are not responding, which is less a forecast than an administrative gap in the forecast. Market mood is Fear, so the paperwork may be holding its breath. This bulletin is duly stamped and released.

  1. Fastly recovered: Osaka (ITM) with Possible Impact resolved after 6h
  2. Ideogram recovered: Outage on 3.0 resolved after 43m
  3. Ideogram API recovered: Outage on 3.0 resolved after 43m
  4. Coinbase recovered: Delayed Sends & Receives - DATA resolved after 33m
  5. Coinbase degraded: Delayed Sends & Receives - DATA
  6. Ideogram down: Outage on 3.0
  7. Ideogram API down: Outage on 3.0
  8. Fireworks AI incident resolved: Service Degradation for Muse Spark Open US resolved; 1 degraded incident remains

Avoid treating Mastodon.social as available; the outage has filed its own paperwork.

  • Check affected services before pushing a change.

  • Keep a fallback for messages and dashboards.

  • Read incident titles, however much they resemble filing labels.

  • Leave the heroic deployment for clearer weather.